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Metallogenic prediction of gold deposits in Laowan area, Henan Province using the weight of evidence model and MRAS |
WEI Cong-Ling( ), CHEN Jian-Li( ), GUO Peng |
No. 1 Geology and Mineral Resources Survey Institute,Henan Bureau of Geology and Mineral Development, Zhengzhou 450001, China |
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Abstract The Laowan area in Henan Province is an important gold minerogenetic area in the Tongbai-Dabie noble nonferrous metal metallogenic belt. Based on the comprehensive analysis of the metallogenic factors of the area, the authors extracted and established nine predictive variables, i.e., strata, ductile shear zones, brittle fault zones, magmatic rocks, gold-related alteration zones, and single-element anomalies of gold, arsenic, antimony, and sliver in stream sediments. Then, the authors predicted metallogenic prospect areas of gold in this area using the weight of evidence model and the MRAS software. Grid cells with a size of 0.10 km×0.10 km were used for prediction, and they were divided into classes A, B, and C in terms of prospecting prediction through the prior probability calculation, weight statistics, independence tests, and posterior probability calculation of each prediction variable. Based on the distribution characteristics of various classes of prediction grid cells and the geological characteristics of gold deposits in the study area, this study delineated four first- and four second-order prospecting target areas. According to comprehensive analysis, most of the known gold deposits or gold ore occurrences fall into the prediction blocks of classes A and B and the prediction blocks of class C lie around the prediction blocks of classes A or B. This analytical result is consistent with the gradual changes of the metallogenic belt from the center to the edges. Gold deposits or ore occurrences have been discovered in all the delineated first-order prospecting target areas, and the posterior probabilities have a high average. Therefore, first-order prospecting target areas have great gold prospecting potential.
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Received: 11 June 2021
Published: 21 June 2022
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Corresponding Authors:
CHEN Jian-Li
E-mail: weicongling@126.com;842186572@qq.com
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Region geological map of Laowan Gold Belt
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Variable map of metallogenic prediction in Laowan Gold Belt
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预测变量 | P1 | P2 | P3 | P4 | 地层 | 1.000 000 | 0.042 279 | 0.000 000 | 0.957 720 | 韧性剪切域 | 0.857 142 | 0.022 780 | 0.142 857 | 0.977 219 | 脆性断束50 m缓冲区 | 0.571 428 | 0.010 408 | 0.428 571 | 0.989 591 | 岩浆岩150 m缓冲区 | 0.500 000 | 0.093 743 | 0.500 000 | 0.906 256 | 与Au有关的蚀变带 | 0.285 714 | 0.009 333 | 0.714 285 | 0.990 666 | Au异常 | 0.928 571 | 0.143 670 | 0.071 428 | 0.856 329 | As异常 | 0.785 714 | 0.214 160 | 0.214 285 | 0.785 839 | Sb异常 | 0.642 857 | 0.197 109 | 0.357 142 | 0.802 890 | Ag异常 | 0.785 714 | 0.244 137 | 0.214 285 | 0.755 862 |
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Prior probability statistical results of predictive variables in the area
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预测变量 | W+ | W- | C | W+方差 | W-方差 | C值排序 | 地层 | 3.163 443 | 0.000 000 | 3.163 443 | 0.071 701 | 0.000 012 | 5 | 韧性剪切域 | 3.627 708 | -1.922 866 | 5.550 574 | 0.083 840 | 0.500 011 | 1 | 脆性断束50 m缓冲区 | 4.005 541 | -0.836 835 | 4.842 376 | 0.126 109 | 0.166 678 | 2 | 岩浆岩150 m缓冲区 | 1.674 045 | -0.594 714 | 2.268 759 | 0.142 980 | 0.142 869 | 7 | 与Au有关的蚀变带 | 3.421 337 | -0.327 094 | 3.748 431 | 0.251 237 | 0.100 011 | 4 | Au异常 | 1.866 123 | -2.483 957 | 4.350 080 | 0.077 003 | 1.000 013 | 3 | As异常 | 1.299 868 | -1.299 442 | 2.599 310 | 0.090 963 | 0.333 348 | 6 | Sb异常 | 1.182 161 | -0.810 082 | 1.992 243 | 0.111 169 | 0.200 014 | 9 | Ag异常 | 1.168 861 | -1.260 549 | 2.429 410 | 0.090 956 | 0.333 348 | 8 |
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Weight of evidence statistical results of predictive variables in the area
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预测变量 | 地层 | 韧性剪 切域 | 脆性断束 50 m缓冲区 | 岩浆岩150 m 缓冲区 | 与Au有关 的蚀变带 | Au异常 | As异常 | Sb异常 | Ag异常 | 地层 | — | | | | | | | | | 韧性剪切域 | -40.25独立 | — | | | | | | | | 脆性断束50 m缓冲区 | -34.55独立 | -30.20独立 | — | | | | | | | 岩浆岩150 m缓冲区 | -15.58独立 | -20.94独立 | -12.81独立 | — | | | | | | 与Au有关的蚀变带 | -37.23独立 | -37.30独立 | -32.38独立 | -12.52独立 | — | | | | | Au异常 | -37.11独立 | -43.73独立 | -56.12独立 | -40.98独立 | -18.59独立 | — | | | | As异常 | -36.82独立 | -35.25独立 | -29.49独立 | -37.91独立 | -27.72独立 | -9.16独立 | — | | | Sb异常 | -43.77独立 | -53.54独立 | -49.74独立 | -34.05独立 | -29.33独立 | -18.82独立 | -19.80独立 | — | | Ag异常 | -38.82独立 | -35.34独立 | -21.08独立 | -16.02独立 | -14.72独立 | -19.54独立 | -10.75独立 | -15.30独立 | — |
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Independence test results of predictive variables in the area
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Distribution of posterior probability’s cumulative frequency
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Histogram of posterior probability distribution of prediction unit
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Metallogenic prognosis map of gold deposit in Laowan area
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编号 | 后验概率最大值 | 后验概率平均值 | 面积/km2 | 已发现矿床点数 | Ⅰ1 | 0.999997 | 0.860023 | 7.17 | 4 | Ⅰ2 | 0.999997 | 0.852098 | 2.79 | 2 | Ⅰ3 | 0.999997 | 0.876286 | 3.47 | 2 | Ⅰ4 | 0.999868 | 0.874190 | 1.47 | 1 | Ⅱ1 | 0.996198 | 0.773105 | 0.80 | 1 | Ⅱ2 | 0.99997 | 0.624653 | 0.96 | 2 | Ⅱ3 | 0.999965 | 0.781311 | 1.24 | 0 | Ⅱ4 | 0.997268 | 0.598727 | 1.22 | 1 |
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Prospecting target areas of gold in Laowan area
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